Here’s our latest weather outlook for India
Friday
Southwest monsoon has advanced into the central Arabian Sea, coastal Karnataka, some areas of Maharashtra, Karnataka and West Bengal. Westerly humid winds from Arabian Sea produce heavy rain and thunderstorms over west coast, western and southern India, it is likely over Kerala, Karnataka, Goa, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Telangana and Maharashtra on Friday.
A cyclonic circulation and a related surface low pressure system are located around West Bengal on Friday morning. The cyclonic circulation and surface low is forecast to move northwestward, it is likely to bring heavy rain and thunderstorms over eastern India from Friday.
Besides, another cyclonic circulation is located over the northeast India. Southwesterly humid winds from the Bay of Bengal adds to the instability of this cyclonic circulation. It is likely to bring heavy rain and thunderstorms over Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura on Friday.
Fairly widespread rain and thunderstorms are likely over Sikkim, Jharkhand and Andaman & Nicobar Islands. Also, heavy rains and thunderstorms are predicted over Chhattisgarh, Odisha and West Bengal. There is a possibility of scattered rain and thunderstorms over Arunachal Pradesh, Bihar and Madhya Pradesh as well.
Isolated rain and thunderstorms are also possible over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan and Gujarat. Also, isolated rain or snow and thunderstorms can be expected over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.
Heatwave conditions have weakened over the eastern, central and southern India due to rainfall. It swells over northern India from Friday. Maximum temperatures of 40°C or more are likely over Delhi from Friday to Sunday. Maximum temperatures of 40°C or more are possible over some areas of northern, western, central and southern India on Friday like Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu.
The air quality is likely to be poor or very poor across the country, especially in the major cities of northern, central, western, eastern and southern India. Air quality of Delhi is unhealthy with PM 2.5 index at 160 or more throughout Delhi on Friday morning.
Saturday and Beyond
Southwest monsoon conditions will be favorable for further advance into Karnataka, Maharashtra, Goa, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Sikkim and some areas of Bihar, Jharkhand and Odisha in the next 2 or 3 days.
The prevailing cyclonic circulation and low pressure in West Bengal is likely to bring heavy rain and thunderstorms over Chhattisgarh and Odisha on Saturday. Additionally, the cyclonic circulation over the northeast is likely to cause unstable conditions over eastern and northeastern India for the next 5 days and more. Heavy rain and thunderstorms in Assam and Meghalaya and widespread rain and thunderstorms are also likely over Arunachal Pradesh, Sikkim, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
The westerly humid rains from the Arabian Sea is likely to bring heavy to very heavy rain and thunderstorms over coastal Karnataka and heavy rain and thunderstorms over Kerala, interior Karnataka, Goa, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana on Saturday. Unstable conditions over coastal western and southern India persists for the next 5 days and more. A total precipitation of 200 mm is expected over northern Kerala and southern coastal Karnataka in the coming 5 days.
Scattered rain and thunderstorms are also likely over West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat. Also, a fresh Western Disturbance affects the mountainous regions of northern India from Sunday. Isolated rain and thunderstorms possible over Haryana, Delhi, Punjab and Rajasthan on Saturday and isolated rain or snow and thunderstorms are also possible over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.
Maximum temperatures are below normal over northern, central, western and eastern India due to rainfalls for the next 5 days. Maximum temperatures are above normal or near average over Southern and North Eastern India for the next 5 days. States like Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh are likely to experience a maximum temperature of more than 40°C on Sunday.
The minimum temperatures are below normal over central and eastern India from Friday to Sunday. Minimum temperatures over other areas are near average or above normal in this period.
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