How the Denver Broncos Can Make the Playoffs: Through Week 17

The Broncos have been eliminated from playoff contention.

N.F.L. Playoff Picture:
Every Team’s Playoff Chances

About this project

Explore the 2019 N.F.L. playoff picture like an expert.

Dec. 29, 2019 Updated

Div. Team Record Change in playoffs,
last 5 weeks
Make
playoffs
Win
division
Round 1
bye
Super
Bowl
AFC
North
Ravens ✓ 14-2
100% 100% 100% 26%
AFC
West
Chiefs ✓ 12-4
100% 100% 100% 17%
NFC
North
Packers ✓ 13-3
100% 100% 100% 13%
NFC
South
Saints ✓ 13-3
100% 100% 43% 11%
AFC
East
Patriots ✓ 12-4
100% 100% 0% 8%
AFC
South
Texans ✓ 10-6
100% 100% 0% 3%
NFC
East
Eagles ✓ 9-7
100% 100% 0% 2%
NFC
West
49ers ✓ 12-3
100% 57% 57% 13%
NFC
West
Seahawks ✓ 11-4
100% 43% 0% 2%
NFC
North
Vikings ✓ 10-6
100% 0% 0% 4%
AFC
East
Bills ✓ 10-6
100% 0% 0% 2%
AFC
South
Titans ✓ 9-7
100% 0% 0% 1%
NFC
East
Giants ✗ 4-12
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
South
Colts ✗ 7-9
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
West
Broncos ✗ 7-9
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
South
Falcons ✗ 7-9
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
East
Redskins ✗ 3-13
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
North
Steelers ✗ 8-8
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
North
Bears ✗ 8-8
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
North
Bengals ✗ 2-14
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
North
Lions ✗ 3-12-1
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
West
Rams ✗ 9-7
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
South
Bucs ✗ 7-9
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
East
Dolphins ✗ 5-11
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
West
Chargers ✗ 5-11
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
South
Panthers ✗ 5-11
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
West
Cardinals ✗ 5-10-1
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
South
Jaguars ✗ 6-10
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
North
Browns ✗ 6-10
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
East
Jets ✗ 7-9
0% 0% 0% 0%
AFC
West
Raiders ✗ 7-9
0% 0% 0% 0%
NFC
East
Cowboys ✗ 8-8
0% 0% 0% 0%

How the Denver Broncos Can Make the PlayoffsThrough Week 17

See all teams

See estimates for all teams

0%
Chance to make the playoffs
Based on 3,000 simulations.
More simulations

Likeliest Playoff Positions

SCENARIO PROBABILITY
Bye week 0%
Host wild card 0%
Wild card 0%
Out 100%

End-of-Season Outcomes

RecordChance this happens Chance to make the playoffs

Division Standings

Highlighted teams would make the playoffs with the choices you’ve made so far.
Record in
Common Games
Team Overall Div. Broncos Opp.

Dec. 29, 2019 Updated

The Broncos have been eliminated from playoff contention.

The table below represents the Broncos’ remaining games. Pick a winner and see what happens to the Broncos’ playoff chances:

If the Broncos win
If the Broncos lose
The chance the Broncos make the playoffs if this happens.
Reset
Better
for the Broncos
Doesn’t
matter
Worse
for the Broncos

As you pick winners, the colors on some games will change, reflecting their relative importance for a Broncos postseason berth.

Or explore other possibilities, like a first-round bye or a division title, right here:

The tables below represent every N.F.L. game remaining. Pick winners and explore which games matter most to the Broncos’ chances.

Week 17
SUN
1:00 ET
1:00 ET
1:00 ET
1:00 ET
1:00 ET
1:00 ET
1:00 ET
1:00 ET
4:25 ET
4:25 ET
4:25 ET
4:25 ET
4:25 ET
4:25 ET
4:25 ET
8:20 ET
Reset
About the simulator

With 1 games remaining, there are about 2 different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end. How many of those put the Broncos in the playoffs? Far too many to check by hand.

So we built this simulator. Most calculators force you to choose the winners of each remaining game. Here, you can choose the outcomes of just a few games and see how your team’s chances grow or shrink. (For more information about this simulator, check out our post from 2016.)

We estimate odds by randomly simulating the remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often the Broncos make the playoffs.

If you don’t specify an outcome for a particular game, we use Sagarin ratings to estimate each team’s chances of winning. (For simplicity, we assume each game has a small chance of ending in a tie.)