How the Kansas City Chiefs Can Make the Playoffs: Through Week 17
Explore the 2019 N.F.L. playoff picture like an expert.
N.F.L. Playoff Picture:
Every Team’s Playoff Chances
Explore the 2019 N.F.L. playoff picture like an expert.
Dec. 29, 2019 Updated
| Div. | Team | Record | Change in playoffs, last 5 weeks |
Make playoffs |
Win division |
Round 1 bye |
Super Bowl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC North |
Ravens ✓ | 14-2 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 26% | |
| AFC West |
Chiefs ✓ | 12-4 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 17% | |
| NFC North |
Packers ✓ | 13-3 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 13% | |
| NFC South |
Saints ✓ | 13-3 | 100% | 100% | 43% | 11% | |
| AFC East |
Patriots ✓ | 12-4 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 8% | |
| AFC South |
Texans ✓ | 10-6 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 3% | |
| NFC East |
Eagles ✓ | 9-7 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 2% | |
| NFC West |
49ers ✓ | 12-3 | 100% | 57% | 57% | 13% | |
| NFC West |
Seahawks ✓ | 11-4 | 100% | 43% | 0% | 2% | |
| NFC North |
Vikings ✓ | 10-6 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 4% | |
| AFC East |
Bills ✓ | 10-6 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 2% | |
| AFC South |
Titans ✓ | 9-7 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 1% | |
| NFC East |
Giants ✗ | 4-12 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC South |
Colts ✗ | 7-9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC West |
Broncos ✗ | 7-9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC South |
Falcons ✗ | 7-9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC East |
Redskins ✗ | 3-13 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC North |
Steelers ✗ | 8-8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC North |
Bears ✗ | 8-8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC North |
Bengals ✗ | 2-14 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC North |
Lions ✗ | 3-12-1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC West |
Rams ✗ | 9-7 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC South |
Bucs ✗ | 7-9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC East |
Dolphins ✗ | 5-11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC West |
Chargers ✗ | 5-11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC South |
Panthers ✗ | 5-11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC West |
Cardinals ✗ | 5-10-1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC South |
Jaguars ✗ | 6-10 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC North |
Browns ✗ | 6-10 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC East |
Jets ✗ | 7-9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| AFC West |
Raiders ✗ | 7-9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| NFC East |
Cowboys ✗ | 8-8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
How the Kansas City Chiefs Can Make the PlayoffsThrough Week 17
Likeliest Playoff Positions
| SCENARIO | PROBABILITY |
|---|---|
| Bye week 100% | |
| Host wild card 0% | |
| Wild card 0% | |
| Out 0% |
End-of-Season Outcomes
| RecordChance this happens | Chance to make the playoffs |
|---|
Division Standings
| Record in Common Games |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Overall | Div. | Chiefs | Opp. |
Dec. 29, 2019 Updated
The table below represents the Chiefs’ remaining games. Pick a winner and see what happens to the Chiefs’ playoff chances:
for the Chiefs
matter
for the Chiefs
As you pick winners, the colors on some games will change, reflecting their relative importance for a Chiefs postseason berth.
Or explore other possibilities, like a first-round bye or a division title, right here:
The tables below represent every N.F.L. game remaining. Pick winners and explore which games matter most to the Chiefs’ chances.
With 1 games remaining, there are about 2 different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end. How many of those put the Chiefs in the playoffs? Far too many to check by hand.
So we built this simulator. Most calculators force you to choose the winners of each remaining game. Here, you can choose the outcomes of just a few games and see how your team’s chances grow or shrink. (For more information about this simulator, check out our post from 2016.)
We estimate odds by randomly simulating the remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often the Chiefs make the playoffs.
If you don’t specify an outcome for a particular game, we use Sagarin ratings to estimate each team’s chances of winning. (For simplicity, we assume each game has a small chance of ending in a tie.)